Adelaide Crows vs Hawthorn Hawks, AFL Round 1 (March 23)

By: boss | Posted on: March 21, 2019
Pick: Odds: Bookie: Bet:$

Event details:
NAME: Adelaide Crows РHawthorn Hawks
DATE: March 23, 2019
TIME: 05:35 UTC
VENUE: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide , Australia

My opinion about the match

Adelaide Crows finished 12th in 2018 with just 48 points. This team was very strong in 2015-2016 but last 2 years it has some problems with stability. But Crows had very good pre-season, they won 2 of 2 matches (against GWS and Port Adelaide Power).

Hawthorn Hawks won 4 of last 5 games against Crows, but they are in very bad form now. Hawks lost 2 of 2 pre-season matches against the Champion of 2017 season (Tigers) and Lions who finished 17th last year.

At the moment when I am writing my forecast, bookies gives @1.41 for Adelaide Crows  and @3.25 for Hawthorn Hawks.

On the one hand Adelaide Crows will play at home (it’s one of the best home teams in the League), but on the other hand Hawthorn Hawks has experienced squad and also plays good away matches.

I think it will not be so easy for Crows as bookies shows.

My prediction: Hawthorn Hawks handicap +19.5 for 1.91 in Bet365

Match preview from flashscore

The Adelaide Crows will look to turn around a disastrous 2018 by getting an early win on the board when the host the Hawthorn Hawks at the Adelaide Oval in a Saturday evening (local time) fixture.From losing the 2017 Grand Final when they were clear cut favourites, it has been a rocky road for the Adelaide Football

Club with last season having just as much media attention focused on the off-field action (a training camp that didn’t go to plan) as the performance on the park.

It seems, however, that the coaching staff decided to stick with the playing squad from last year with little off season player movement. Probably not a bad move as if the likes of Taylor Walker, Brad Crouch and Rory Sloane can recapture old form, a surge up the ladder is expected.

Hawthorn enter 2019 with the bad news still lingering that the reigning Brownlow Medallist Tom Mitchell will miss the entire 2019 season due to a knee reconstruction.

From such heartache also comes opportunities as it provides lesser known players such as Blake Hardwick, Daniel Howe, Darren Minchington and James Cousins the chance to cement their place in the team.

The other big unknown the Hawks face is what impact Tom Scully (ex Giants) can provide. Rumour has it he has been ticking all the right boxes as he overcomes his ankle injury, though Hawks fans may have to wait until the second half of the season before a positive return eventuates.

Players to watch: After four seasons of 51, 63, 75 and 55 goals, Eddie Betts (Crows) could only manage 29 goals in 2018. Is his career coming to a quicker than expected end?

In contrast, Shaun Burgoyne (Hawks) – who lines up for career game number 359 – seems to be getting better with age. Don’t write him off playing next year if the 400-game milestone is within reach.

Stat attack: Hawthorn have won nine of the last ten H2H match-ups.

The Crows had the least clangers last year while Hawthorn had the sixth most.
Not since 2004 have both these teams missed the finals in the same year.

 

Sources of this article: www.flashscore.com and www.sofascore.com

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