Carlton Blues – Adelaide Crows (June 27, 2019)

boss of betting
By: boss, Profit: +$853.5 (107 bets)

Posted on: July 23, 2019. Last updated: 27 July 2019

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Match prediction and pick:Adelaide Crows -9.5 points

Odds:1.90

Bookmaker: Tempobet

My bet:$100 , Bet status: Lost


AFL (Australian Rules Football) Round 19

Event details:
NAME: Carlton Blues – Adelaide Crows
DATE: July 27, 2019
TIME: 04:10 UTC
VENUE: Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne , Australia

Match prediction

I was very surprised by margin +10 points for Carlton Blues for this match by top bookmakers.

I don’t think that this team is too strong for this handicap and Adelaide Crows have much more advantage for the match and now I will try to explain why I think so.

Yes, this match will be at the MCG and it’s a home stadium for Blues, but they are just 2 of 8 matches at home in 2019 and won only 2 teams there: Gold Coast Suns and Brisbane Lions.

But must to say that Carlton don’t lose at the MCG with big margin (30 or more points).

Adelaide Crows are 8th after 18 rounds and they are at the last spot of playoffs and they need to get 4 points in every match if they want to guarantee playoffs for this season for themselves.

Also Adelaide Crows are more  successful in away matches in this season and won 5 of 8 matches in 2019. They are in top 5 for this indicator in AFL.

In addition, Adelaide Crows have very good H2H results against Carlton Blues and won 4 of last 5 games and 4 in a row:

25.08.18 AFL Carlton Blues 61 : 165 Adelaide Crows
01.07.17 AFL Carlton Blues 77 : 89 Adelaide Crows
10.07.16 AFL Carlton Blues 47 : 107 Adelaide Crows
06.06.15 AFL Carlton Blues 90 : 99 Adelaide Crows
25.05.14 AFL Carlton Blues 81 : 76 Adelaide Crows

And 3 of 5 were with margin 10+ points.

My prediction and pick for the match Blues vs Crows

Adelaide Crows to win the match with asian handicap -9.5 points and odd @1.90 in Tempobet

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