NAME: Carlton Blues – Sydney Swans, AFL Round 3
DATE: April 6, 2019
TIME: 02:45 UTC
VENUE: Etihad Stadium, Melbourne , Australia
My prediction for this match
Both teams have 0 points after first 2 games of the new season and need this 4 points.
Sydney Swans played against Western Bulldogs and Adelaide Crows:
Swans aren’t so good now to beat the strongest teams in the League, but still good to beat the teams with bad defence. Swans must to be in top 8 in the end of the season, so they need to start earn points right now. I don’t think that this team will have some problems with motivation in this match.
Carlton also has 0-2 after first 2 games
and this team has not so many star players as Swans has, so to Blues will be difficult to beat this team in the Round 3.
I think Swans will take this points.
My prediction and pick for the game:
Sydney Swans to win the match with odds 1.53 in betway
Match preview by flashscore
For the second time in four years, the Sydney Swans have started the season 0-2, and while they did begin 2017 with six straight losses and still made finals, a defeat against the Carlton Blues this week will be a disaster.
While Carlton also enter the round with a 0-2 record, the sixth year in a row they have done so, there has been many extended periods of play (in both defeats) where they have been the better team. The key now is to keep such intensity going when the sniff of a win is there.
One clear upside has been the performance of Carlton’s back-line of Jacob Weitering, Liam Jones and Lachie Plowman. Add former number six draft pick Caleb Marchbank, who will play his first game of the season this week, and the Blues’ defence is starting to look very formidable.
The message within the Swans dressing room this week will be simple: ‘This is a must win game!’ While yes the club has made the finals twice this decade having started the season 0-2, a loss against the Blues would be hard for fans to swallow.
Not only have the Swans won nine of the last ten match-ups, but they have also won four of their last five matches overall when playing as the away favourite.
Players to watch: Patrick Cripps (Blues) with an average 32 disposals a game this year already is now seen as equal favourite for the Brownlow Medal.
In the corresponding match last year, Callum Sinclair (Swans) had 22 disposals, 26 hit-outs and two goals.
With Carlton still missing Matthew Kreuzer due to injury, look for Sinclair to dominate again.
Stat attack: Only once in the last ten H2H contests has the winning margin for either team been less than 15.5 points.
Despite two losses this season, Carlton have covered the ‘betting line’ both times.
Luke Parker earned Brownlow votes the last two times these teams played.
Carlton have now played 56 straight AFL matches without scoring 100 points.