Collingwood Magpies vs Fremantle Dockers (01.06)

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By: boss

Posted on: May 29, 2019. Last updated: 2 June 2019

Match prediction and pick:Fremantle Dockers +34.5

Odds:1.91

Bookmaker: Bet365

My bet:$100 , Bet status: Won


 VS
Collingwood Magpies Round 11, MCG Fremantle Dockers

Event details:
NAME: Collingwood Magpies – Fremantle Dockers
DATE: June 1, 2019
TIME: 03:45 UTC
VENUE: Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne , Australia

My prediction to the match Magpies vs Dockers

I was very surprised by the margin of +34.5 points for Fremantle Dockers. I expected margin of 20 points, not of 34 points.

I think it’s too big margin for Dockers, because they aren’t so bad as bookmakers think.

Fremantle Dockers played good in the round 10 and beat Brisbane Lions, which are strong now with just 1 point handicap.

If we will analyze last 5 matches of both teams we will see

In the last 5 matches of Collingwood they won just 2 games with margin over 34 points and Fremantle don’t lose any game with this margin and they don’t have a loss in this season with margin by 30 points or more. It’s very important.

But I have much more interesting stats for the match:

  • Collingwood Magpies played 4 games with teams form top 8 and are 2-2 (8 points of 16)
  • Fremantle Dockers played 5 games with teams form top 8 and are 2-3 (8 points of 20)

If Collingwood will be without De Goey for the match, it will be very good pick, if he will be available – it will be 50/50.

My prediction and pick for the match:

Fremantle Dockers to win the match with asian handicap +34.5 points in Bet365

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