NAME: Collingwood Magpies – Western Bulldogs, AFL Round 4
DATE: April 12, 2019
TIME: 09:50 UTC
VENUE: Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne , Australia
My prediction to this game
Collingwood Magpies lost 2 of first 3 matches of the new season, but all matches were played against strong teams from the top 8: Geelong Cats (the strongest team now), Richmond Tigers and West Coast Eagles (the Champions of 2018).
This match will be played at the MCG and it is the home stadium of Magpies. I think it will be big advantage for this team.
After first 2 wins Western Bulldogs lost to Gold Coast Suns in the Round 3 (68:73) and now they are 5th in the standings.
Collingwood Magpies won just 2 of the last 5 matches
but I think that they will show much better result in this game.
My prediction and pick for the game:
Collingwood Magpies to win the match with asian handicap -26.5 and odds 1.92 in Marathonbet
After losing last week to one of the pre-season wooden spoon favourites (Gold Coast), the Western Bulldogs will look to make amends this week against a flag favourite in the Collingwood Magpies at the MCG, a team they have beaten in five of the last six H2H match-ups.
After two impressive wins to start the season, the Bulldogs well and truly let their home fans down last week. Instead of rejoicing in a 3-0 record (which would have seen them well entrenched in the top four), they offered a pitiful team effort against a club they were expected to cruise past.
Look for the likes of Mitch Wallis, Tim English, Hayden Crozier and Taylor Duryea (who all under-performed in round three) to make amends with big games this week.
Despite sitting 11th in the table with a 1-2 record, Collingwood fans will feel somewhat content that a strong year lies ahead. The club was dealt a fairly tough fixture to start the year having already played three teams expected to be strong finals contenders – Geelong, Richmond and West Coast.
With their next six matches against teams that failed to make finals last year (as such they will be favourites in all those matches), Collingwood will be hoping to overcome the fact they have so far lost both matches this year when starting as the pre-match favourite.
Players to watch: Youngsters Jordan de Goey (Magpies) and Jack Macrae (Bulldogs) have been outstanding so far this year. de Goey has booted ten goals while Macrae has averaged more than 33 possessions in the same period. Who can extend such high standards for a fourth week?
Stat attack: Seven out of the last 11 H2H meetings have seen a winning margin of less than 20 points.
The Bulldogs have covered the ‘points line’ in just ten of their last 25 matches.
Collingwood have not defeated the Bulldogs at the MCG since 2011.
Scott Pendlebury (Magpies) has earned Brownlow votes in three of the last four H2H match-ups.
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