Greater Western Sydney vs Richmond Tigers (06.04.2019)

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By: boss, Profit: +$853.5 (107 bets)

Posted on: April 5, 2019. Last updated: 13 June 2019

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Match prediction and pick:GWS

Odds:1.67

Bookmaker: Betvictor

My bet:$100 , Bet status: Won


Event details:
NAME: GWS Giants – Richmond Tigers, AFL Round 3
DATE: April 6, 2019
TIME: 02:35 UTC
VENUE: Skoda Stadium, Sydney , Australia

My prediction for the match

Greater Western Sydney and Richmond Tigers have 1-1 and 4 points after first 2 games of the new season and now is very important moment to get in top 8.

In the 1st Round GWS won Bombers 112:40, but in the second lost to Eagles 104:52. This team play very good at the home stadium (the Spotless Stadium) but this match will be played at the Skoda Stadium (Sydney). It can be important.

Richmond Tigers also has 1-1 after fist 2 games of the season and lost to Collingwood Magpies 66:110 in the Round 2.

I think Richmond is more stronger team now than GWS, but it hard to predict conditions of the Tigers after first 2 games.

Last 5 games between these teams:

No Jack Riewoldt for this game and I think it will be key factor for this game. This man is very important for the Tigers and without him it will be hard to beat GWS.

My prediction and pick:

GWS to win the match with odds 1.67 in Betvictor

Match preview by flashscore

Having lost six of the last eight matches that Alex Rance has missed, is the cliche ‘no Rance, no Richmond Tigers’ a fact? The boys from Punt Road will look to eradicate that thought this week when they travel to Showground Stadium to take on the Greater Western Sydney Giants.

With the club’s absentee list also now including Jack Riewoldt (expected to miss four weeks with a wrist injury) and Dylan Grimes (suspension), suddenly a season where they were installed as Premiership favourites no longer looks so promising.

With three relatively unknowns – Ryan Brathwaite (2 career games), Noah Balta (1) and rookie listed Sydney Stack (debut match) – called upon to breach the void, Richmond will start the match as underdogs for the first time since Grand Final day 2017.

Hot and cold, that is the only way to sum up the Giants’ start to the season going from a 72-point round one victory, to a 52-point loss. And while he may only be one player, the return from injury of superstar Josh Kelly will surely give the team a more balanced, dangerous and productive midfield brigade.

Not only have Richmond lost four of their past five interstate games, but GWS have won 12 of their last 16 matches (with one draw) when playing as a favourite.

Players to watch: Shane Mumford (GWS) is pencilled in to return after retiring from the game 18 months ago. Look for him to be limited to approximately 60% of match time until his match fitness improves.

Tigers duo Dustin Martin & Trent Cotchin were both ordinary last week, but recent history has shown they very rarely play two bad games in a row. Look for both men to set a tone that they mean business early on.

Stat attack: Richmond have not lost two games in a row since round nine, 2017.

From 36 first half inside 50s last week, GWS could only manage three goals.

In the corresponding game last year, Jason Castagna couldn’t buy a goal and finished with 0.5 for the match.

Richmond have not defeated the Giants at Showground Stadium since 2014.

 

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