NAME: North Melbourne – Sydney Swans
DATE: May 18, 2019
TIME: 09:25 UTC
VENUE: Bellerive Oval, Hobart , Australia
My prediction on the match Kangaroos vs Swans
Both teams are very weak in 2019 and have just 8 points after first 8 rounds. But I was very surprised by bookmaker’s odds, they think that Kangaroos are the favorites of this match. But why? Because they will play at home stadium? I think it’s not enough.
We have +6.5 for Sydney and I think it is very value pick and now I’ll try to explain why I think so.
North Melbourne Kangaroos and Sydney Swans are in similar (similar bad) conditions and have just 2 wins in 8 matches. But Swans had more matches against strong teams that Kangaroos. In the last 5 matches 3 were against teams from top 8.
Sydney Swans probably will be without Franklin, but average class of all players are higher than Kangaroos have.
Both teams need this 4 points because it’s far from the end of the season and both still have some chances to get to play-offs.
I think Swans will win the match (or lose with minimal margin), so my pick is:
Sydney Swans with asian handicap +6.5 points and odds 1.91 in bet365.
If you have any questions or have own opinion about the match, feel free to post in in comments bellow.