AUSTRALIA: AFL – Round 2
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
My prediction for this game
In AFL Round 1 Richmond won 9.10 (64) – 14.13 (97) over Carlton Blues and they won 1st and 4th quarters. Richmond Tigers shows very good footy at MCG Stadium and the next match also will be here.
Collingwood Magpies was a favorite in the match vs Geelong Cats but Magpies lost to them 65 – 72. They have some problems with goals and key players aren’t in their best conditions.
Bet365 gives odds @1.82 vs @2.00 to Richmond and I agree that this team will be favorite in this match.
I think we can place bet on Asian handicap -2.5 on Richmond Tigers with odds 1.91 in Bet365.
My prediction for this game: Richmond will win the match with handicap over 3 points.
Will be glad if you will share your opinion about the match in comments.
Match preview upd. 27 of Match
Round two kicks off with one of the most anticipated games of the season when the Richmond Tigers and Collingwood Magpies battle in front of 90,000 plus spectators in a rematch of their 2018 Preliminary Final contest.
While the Tigers’ camp have this week proclaimed ‘this is just another game’, memories of that heartbreaking defeat last September must still linger strongly for players, coaches and fans alike, with revenge surely on their minds.
Despite registering a round-one win, that victory came at the cost of five-time All-Australian Alex Rance doing his ACL. With the Tigers having lost five of their last seven games when Rance has been absent, a new defensive template is definitely needed.
Collingwood shot themselves in the foot last week, missing some easy shots at goal which allowed the Cats to get over the line late in the match. One key highlight, however, was undoubtedly Jamie Elliott’s return from an 18-month injury nightmare. He was a clear standout up forward booting three goals, and looked dangerous with his speed and smooth ball handling.
Not only were Richmond 12-1 when playing at home as a favourite in 2018, they have won 20 of their last 21 matches at the MCG and have only lost four of their last 18 final quarters.
There is no doubt that the Magpies are under the pump to avoid an 0-2 start to the season, and a big win over last year’s minor premiers would be a strong statement.
Players to watch: Mason Cox (Magpies) had his finest 120 minutes of football the last time these two teams played producing 15 disposals, 11 marks and three goals. With Rance’s injury, look for fellow tall defender
David Astbury (Tigers) to be given the starting job of curbing his influence.
Stat attack: Richmond have won four of the last five H2H matches.
In his last two matches against Richmond, Steele Sidebottom has averaged 39.5 possessions.
Richmond produced 63 tackles last week compared to Collingwood’s 49.
Bet lost. Collingwood Magpies was much stronger in 3rd and 4th quarters.
Final score: 66 – 110