Chelsea - Arsenal free match prediction and preview

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UEFA Europa League Final

Event details:
NAME: Chelsea – Arsenal
DATE: May 29, 2019
TIME: 19:00 UTC
VENUE: Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku , Azerbaijan

My prediction to the match Chelsea – Arsenal

The most interesting match of the Tournament where will play 2 english teams: Chelsea and Arsenal. Both teams know each other very well and need this trophy. Chelsea already qualified to the Champions League for next season, but Arsenal no and this is their last chance to play here, because they are finished 5th in EPL.

After checking and researching bookmaker’s lines I found some interesting odds:

Total over 2.5 and Asian Handicap Arsenal (+0.25).

And now I’ll explain why I think these picks are so interesting for me.

Arsenal is primary only host team. They play very good at the Emirates, but away matches are very poor and Arsenal lost to BATE and Rennes first away matches of the play-offs in this season of Europa League.

And some interesting statistics for the match Chelsea vs Arsenal:

Chelsea

When the odds are 2.45 the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team actually wins 34% matches with these odds.

Arsenal

When the odds are 3.10the expected chance of winning is 32%, but this team actually wins 41% matches with these odds.

And

look at “More than 2.5 goals” statistic, Arsenal had more than 2.5 goals in the last 6 of 7 matches and I think next match will not be an exception.

Chelsea can to score minimum 1 goal and it will not be very difficult for Hazard and his team with very poor defense by Arsenal.

Also I think Arsenal has more motivation to win the Europa League and asian handicap +0.25 with odds 1.86 looks very good to pick it.

But my prediction to the match will be:

Total over 2.5 with odds 1.97 in 188Bet

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