NAME: KRC Genk – KV Kortrijk
DATE: July 26, 2019
TIME: 18:30 UTC
VENUE: Luminus Arena, Genk , Belgium
When the odds are 1.44 the expected chance of winning is 69%, but this team actually wins 68% matches with these odds.
More than 2.5 goals 5/5
First to score 5/5
First half winner 4/5
More than 2.5 goals 7/9
First to score
Head to Head streaks
Both teams scoring 4/5
No losses 3
First to score 4/5
Without clean sheet 5
Teams injuries and suspensions
Theo Bongonda, Unknown
Joseph Paintsil, Knee injury
Vladimir Screciu, Hamstring Injury
Neto Borges, Back injury
Felipe Avenatti, Groin injury
Medjon Hoxha, Cruciate ligament injury
My prediction to the match Genk vs Kortrijk
It will be the first match of new season of Jupiler League and it’s pretty hard to understand strength of each team after friendly matches and short preseason.
I want to analyze this match by the stats of 2018/2019 season and there are some interesting things.
Genk and Kortrijk like to play Total Over and have high goals per match scores:
Genk (Gent) – 3.3 goals per match
Kortrijk – 2.9 goals per match
And last 4 H2H matches in Jupiter League between these teams
08.12.18 JL Genk 1 : 1 Kortrijk
02.09.18 JL Kortrijk 3 : 3 Genk
06.02.18 CUP Genk 1 : 0 Kortrijk
30.01.18 CUP Kortrijk 3 : 2 Genk
23.12.17 JL Genk 2 : 3 Kortrijk
As you can see, 4 of last 5 matches were with Both teams to score result and 3 of last 5 matches were finished with total over.
Best bookmakers provide average odd @1.57 for Total Over 2.5 goals in this match, but I think odd is too low and isn’t value.
But more interesting odds are on BTTS market and 188bet gives @1.74 for BTTS (YES) on this match. I think it is the most value pick for this game.
So, my prediction and pick
Both teams to score YES with odd @1.74 in 188Bet
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