Genk – Kortrijk (26 July 2019)

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By: boss, Profit: +$853.5 (107 bets)

Posted on: July 25, 2019. Last updated: 26 July 2019

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Match prediction and pick:Both teams to score YES

Odds:1.74

Bookmaker: 188bet

My bet:$100 , Bet status: Won


Event details:
NAME: KRC Genk – KV Kortrijk
DATE: July 26, 2019
TIME: 18:30 UTC
VENUE: Luminus Arena, Genk , Belgium

Winning odds

KRC Genk

When the odds are 1.44 the expected chance of winning is 69%, but this team actually wins 68% matches with these odds.

Team Streaks

KRC Genk
More than 2.5 goals 5/5
First to score 5/5
First half winner 4/5

KV Kortrijk
More than 2.5 goals 7/9
First to score

Head to Head streaks

Both teams scoring 4/5

KRC Genk
No losses 3
First to score 4/5

KV Kortrijk
Without clean sheet 5

Teams injuries and suspensions

Genk

Theo Bongonda, Unknown
Joseph Paintsil, Knee injury
Vladimir Screciu, Hamstring Injury
Neto Borges, Back injury

Kortrijk

Felipe Avenatti, Groin injury
Medjon Hoxha, Cruciate ligament injury

My prediction to the match Genk vs Kortrijk

It will be the first match of new season of Jupiler League and it’s pretty hard to understand strength of each team after friendly matches and short preseason.

I want to analyze this match by the stats of 2018/2019 season and there are some interesting things.

Genk and Kortrijk like to play Total Over and have high goals per match scores:

Genk (Gent) – 3.3 goals per match

Kortrijk – 2.9 goals per match

And last 4 H2H matches in Jupiter League between these teams

08.12.18 JL Genk 1 : 1 Kortrijk
02.09.18 JL Kortrijk 3 : 3 Genk
06.02.18 CUP Genk 1 : 0 Kortrijk
30.01.18 CUP Kortrijk 3 : 2 Genk
23.12.17 JL Genk 2 : 3 Kortrijk

As you can see, 4 of last 5 matches were with Both teams to score result and 3 of last 5 matches were finished with total over.

Best bookmakers provide average odd @1.57 for Total Over 2.5 goals in this match, but I think odd is too low and isn’t value.

But more interesting odds are on BTTS market and 188bet gives @1.74 for BTTS (YES) on this match. I think it is the most value pick for this game.

So, my prediction and pick

Both teams to score YES with odd @1.74 in 188Bet

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