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Tottenham’s victory in the Champions League (CL) quarter-final first leg last week handed Manchester City their only defeat in 16 competitive matches (W15, L1 – including extra-time). In that sequence, nine of those wins were by a two-goal margin or more, highlighting their dominance against their opponents.
The ‘Sky Blues’ have only won 2 of their 7 UEFA competition ties in which they lost the away leg first – their most recent loss coming against fellow English side Liverpool at this stage last season. They do have the quality to turn the tie around though, and especially at home, as City have scored 16 goals in their four CL home games this season.
After a sequence of just win one in six competitive matches (W1, D1, L4), Tottenham have turned their form around in recent weeks, winning three matches in a row for the first time since February, of which each win was accompanied by a clean sheet. Additionally, they have not conceded a CL goal in three matches.
Spurs’ 1-0 win last week ended a run of three consecutive competitive defeats against City. It was also just Pep Guardiola’s third defeat in his 15 managerial H2Hs with Mauricio Pochettino (W8, D4, L3).
Players to watch: Including two on Sunday, Raheem Sterling has six goals for City across his previous eight competitive matches.
Attacking midfielder Lucas Moura scored a hat-trick on Saturday for Spurs to take his tally to four goals in four competitive matches.
Stat attack: City have scored just two second-half goals in five competitive matches.
Both teams haven’t scored in four of City’s previous five competitive matches.
Spurs have scored at least one goal in each of their previous four competitive visits to the Etihad.
The first match of 1/4 the Champions League between these teams was finished with result 1:0 to Tottenham and now Guardiola’s team need to score minimum 1 goal.
In this match Tottenham will play without Kane, Lamela and Dier. Alli, Autier and Winks are questionable for this match.
Manchester City comes to this match without any serious losses and all key players will be available for Pep Guardiola.
Bookies give 1.30 for City’s win, 5.8 for a draw and 10.00 for Tottenham.
My prediction and pick for the match:
Total OVER 2.5 with odds 1.52 in Leonbets
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