PAOK – Ajax (06 Aug 2019)

boss of betting
By: boss

Posted on: August 5, 2019. Last updated: 6 August 2019

Win probability

PAOK to win

28 %


29.5 %

Ajax to win

49 %

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Match prediction and pick:Total Over 2.5 goals


Bookmaker: Leonbets

My bet:$100 , Bet status: Won

Event details:
DATE: August 6, 2019
TIME: 17:00 UTC
VENUE: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki , Greece

Winning odds

When the odds are 3.75 the expected chance of winning is 27%, but this team actually wins 14% matches with these odds.

When the odds are 2.00 the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team actually wins 54% matches with these odds.

Team streaks

No losses 7
Without clean sheet 3
More than 2.5 goals 6/7
First to score 6/7
First half winner 6/7

No losses 3
More than 2.5 goals 5/7
Both teams scoring 9/10

H2H streaks

Without clean sheet 5
Both teams scoring 5/5

My prediction to the match PAOK vs Ajax

PAOK and Ajax are 2 teams which like to play total over and I don’t know why bookmakers provide odd 2.16 to Total Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Let’s analyze statistics for both teams.

PAOK have 3 matches in a row without clean sheet and 6 of last 7 matches with total over 2.5 goals. Also this team likes to score first in the match and win first half.

Last 5 matches by PAOK and just one with total Under 2.5 goals (but Both teams to score).

Remaining 4 matches were with total 3 or more goals in the match.

Ajax also like to play on total over and more than 2.5 goals were in 5 of last 7 matches by this team. Meanwhile, Ajax has not the best defense in the League and has at least 1 conceded goal in 9 of last 10 matches.

In the sum we have 2 teams which like to play on Total Over in the match, score a lot and don’t play with clean sheets.

So, my prediction to this match

Total Over 2.5 goals with odd @2.16 in Leonbets

Also I like Both teams to score with @1.95 in Leonbets, but I think that Total Over is more value pick.

PAOK vs Ajax advanced H2H statistics

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