Aston Villa vs Tottenham match prediction (Sunday, 21 Mar 2021)

About the match

Start date: 21 Mar 2021 21:30
Location: Birmingham
Venue: Villa Park
Referee: Mike Dean, England

Aston Villa vs Tottenham match preview

Aston Villa are yet to endure four consecutive Premier League (PL) fixtures without a victory this season and desperately need to avoid doing so to keep their slim hopes of a coveted top-five place alive. A W2, L1 record as a PL home outsider gives them hope of their first home victory in six weeks.

Resolute defending has contributed to six of their last seven PL fixtures producing two or fewer total goals (W2, D3, L2), with Villa being shut out three times themselves despite averaging a healthy 3.71 shots on target per game in that period. Notably, the HT result has been replicated at the final whistle in all seven of their most recent PL fixtures.

They’re yet to meet Tottenham this season, and the visitors will be confident of bouncing back from some poor PL travelling form (W1, L4 from their last five trips) – and a humiliating midweek Europa League exit – after five consecutive defeats of Aston Villa in all competitions. After their North London derby (NLD) defeat, they join 18 other PL clubs in having lost a league match when scoring first (W11, D5, L1) and are now in danger of missing European football for the first time since 2005/06.

That NLD result came as little surprise, given how poor Tottenham’s second-half performances have been in the last three months. Spurs have outscored their opposition of the day after HT in just four of their last 17 PL outings (D5, L8), whilst converting just one of their last four 1-0 HT leads into victory as a result (D3).

Players to watch: With his 86th minute match opener last start, Ollie Watkins has now registered five of Aston Villa’s last eight PL opening goals. Similarly, Gareth Bale has opened the scoring for Tottenham in two of their last four PL fixtures.

Hot stat: Ten of Tottenham’s last 12 defeats of Aston Villa in all competitions have been accompanied by a margin of at least two goals.

Possible Lineups

Will not play

Aston Villa: Wesley(Knee Injury)

Tottenham: Lamela E., Son Heung-Min

WINNING ODDS

Aston Villa
When the odds are 2.90 the expected chance of winning is 34%, but this team actually wins 57% matches with these odds.

Tottenham
When the odds are 2.45 the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team actually wins 26% matches with these odds.

My prediction to the match Aston Villa vs Tottenham

Tottenham won 3 of last 5 PL matches and lost only to West Ham and Arsenal in away matches. There are good teams and I think the Spurs will have good chances to win the match.

Aston Villa won only 1 of last 5 matches (1:0 vs Leeds in away game) and they have scored only 2 goals in the last 5 PL matches.

So my prediction for the match Aston Villa vs Tottenham is

Tottenham to win the match with handicap (0) goals and odds 1.80

 

 

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